this post was submitted on 17 May 2026
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Damn it—I was in the middle of writing you a really long reply when the power went out and my computer shut down. I switched over to my backup power supply, but drafts don't save on this setup... Argh.
Let's talk tomorrow, Comrade! I'll say just one thing: I first found out about the massive shelling from the news this morning. It was relatively quiet on our end last night.
I also wanted to discuss the JPMorgan forecast with you, as well as the potential scenarios for how the war in Ukraine might end.
https://logos-pres.md/en/news/jpmorgan-chase-analysts-predict-a-finnish-scenario-for-ukraine/
Oh that sucks about the power, and I saw their report. We'll have to chat more about it, but reads like copium to me. I do think it's an indication that they see the gig is up now. Another sign is that Europe is now scrambling to find a negotiator, definitely not a thing they'd be doing if they genuinely thought they were winning.