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[The Athletic] How Premier League teams' expected goals have changed (alien.top)

submitted 11 months ago by lomaric@alien.top to c/main@soccer.forum

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[–] sidvicc@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (2 children)

After the initial outrage over the 10pt deduction dies down, Toffees would be secretly happy that it came at the best time for them.

Last season, they're relegated. Earlier this season when they were on a bad run and suddenly the doom and gloom around the club could've spiralled. Later this season and they wouldn't have the games left to react.

But now, in a good run, with enough games to go and the siege mentality setting in with very low risk of actual relegation = best outcome of a bad situation.

[–] Black_XistenZ@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

It could also have spelled disaster for them in most other seasons when competition at the bottom of the table is tougher. This season, 30 points will most likely be enough to stay up because there's 3-4 teams which aren't PL-ready and completely outmatched.

[–] Slight_Public_5305@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (2 children)

I wouldn’t say very low risk tbh. Form can change. They’re probably going to be safe though.

[–] alwaysneedsahand@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

They'll be out of the relegation zone by the end of the weekend.

[–] sidvicc@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

Compared to every season for the last 3 or 4 years, where relegation would be a nailed on certainty, it's pretty low risk.

Everton would have to royally screw up to get relegated this season.