this post was submitted on 20 Nov 2023
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Smart move by Microsoft. But I will be curious to see how long Sam and Greg last?
It is going to be completely different for them. They are not going to have anywhere near the autonomy they enjoyed at OpenAI.
But this entire episode is a bit mind blowing.
One thing I find interesting is that Alphabet had two AI competitors. Cruise and OpenAI.
Both companies look to have self destructed. Cruise CEO resigned over the weekend.
In both cases it looks like it was about safety. AI is so different from other technologies.
There is such a huge safety aspect. It could be we will see a lot of stuff like this. Where people with AI thought they could move fast and break things and found out they really could not that someone is watching and not going to let them.
https://twitter.com/eshear/status/1726526112019382275 The new CEO said it has nothing to do with safety and that he wouldn't have joined if he hadn't been able to commercialise the models.
Admittedly he could be lying or the board could have lied to him, but I don't think we can assume for certain it's about safety
Sheer also says his first plan is to have a 30 day investigation in to how they reached this point, so maybe what it's about isn't even totally clear to those with direct involvement (though it's still fun to speculate)
Why Emmett? Anyone have insight? I am familiar with him from his time at Twitch. Twitch is a very different company so the selection is a bit surprising. Is OpenAI planning to livestream training runs or something? Hmmm thinking about it some more, a main component of Twitch was chat. Obviously I am reaching.
His current plans for OpenAI are to make ChatGPT look like a pretty young woman wearing a bikini and sitting in a hot tub as it answers your questions.
I welcome our new AI Thot overlords. Haha DeepThot.
He's part of the EA movement. His p(doom) is between 5% and 50% according to Zvi, a prominent member of the larger Rationalist movement. "My AI safety discourse is 100% 'you are building an alien god that will literally destroy the world when it reaches the critical threshold but be apparently harmless before that.'" Again, according to Zvi.
If this doesn't make sense to you, read this novel I wrote two days ago or this one that says pretty much the same thing.