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Bill Gates told a German newspaper that GPT5 wouldn't be much better than GPT4: "there are reasons to believe that we have reached a plateau" [N] (www.handelsblatt.com)

submitted 11 months ago by we_are_mammals@alien.top to c/machinelearning@academy.garden

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[–] TopTunaMan@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (1 children)

I'm not buying it, and here's why.

First off, let's look at how AI has been moving. It's like, every time we think we've seen it all, something new pops up and blows our minds. Saying we've peaked already just doesn't sit right with how things have gone so far.

And then, tech's always full of surprises, right? We're playing with what we've got now, but who knows what crazy new stuff is around the corner? I'm talking about things like quantum computing or some wild new algorithms we haven't even thought of yet.

Also, let's be real – GPT-4 is cool, but it's not perfect. It gets stuff wrong, misses the point sometimes, and could definitely be better. So there's room for GPT-5 to step up and fix some of this stuff.

Plus, we're not running out of data or computing power anytime soon. These are only getting bigger and better, so it's kind of a no-brainer that AI will keep getting smarter.

And don't forget all the other fields feeding into AI. Stuff from brain science, language, you name it – all this can give AI a serious boost.

So, yeah, I get where Gates is coming from, but I think it's way too early to say we've hit the top. AI's still got a lot of room to grow and surprise us. Just my two cents!

[–] elbiot@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

New technologies are surprising. Transformers and diffusion models have been amazing. Just bigger of the same is not going to do much, especially transformers which are already pushed to the limit