350
Harris leads Trump 2-1 among the earliest voters, many driven by abortion access: new poll
(www.usatoday.com)
this post was submitted on 21 Oct 2024
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politics
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This is actually pretty dangerous news. Hillary was also leading in the polls.
This is early voting, not really a poll. People are interviewed upon exiting the polls and that data set is linked to the registration data for the precinct. So, there is no data model applied as there is in the polls you are familiar with.
That's literally a poll, though.
I think the point is that this isn't an advance poll to see how people might vote, where people might end up changing their minds. It's instead people who have just voted saying who they actually voted for.
It's still a poll, and all polls have inherent biases. These sorts of announcements are a bad thing because they lead to people not voting.
Yeah, you have a point there.