this post was submitted on 15 Nov 2023
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Machine Learning
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The bubble is about to burst. Six more months, tops. At that point people will realize that next word prediction while impressive is just not very useful in most business contexts, and that the use cases that might be interesting don't need a universe-sized model. Useful applications of natural language processing are quite limited despite what everyone says right now. The idea to replace workers in large numbers is a pipedream, if the idea has merit at all it will be for those who promote it the most (talking heads).
All technology will have a natural language interface within 10 years. We will have embodied reasoning machines at most a decade later. Your perspective is skewed by your business context perhaps
Divide those timescales by 4 and you are on the mark.