this post was submitted on 21 Feb 2025
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NonCredibleDefense

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(page 2) 13 comments
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[–] shoulderoforion@fedia.io 4 points 1 day ago

keep fuckin around somebody's gonna set off a nuke

[–] tal@lemmy.today 2 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (8 children)

Russia can't defeat the US in conventional warfare, but is much-more-comparable from a nuclear aspect. So Russia has a significant incentive to use nuclear weapons.

I'd guess that the US probably has a shot at actually getting a first strike off versus Russia. So the US has a significant incentive to use nuclear weapons.

Anyone intending to make serious use of nuclear weapons has very little reason to hold back if they expect a high likelihood of the other side responding massively. So they've got a significant incentive to go all-in.

I think that there's a pretty good probability that a major war between Russia and the US of the "only one of us is walking away from this" sort goes very nuclear very quickly.

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