Civil war didn't happen when Gore "lost" on some technical bullshit, it's not going to happen anytime soon.
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There wasn't a clown leader and Fox hadn't amped people up for 22 years.
Almost fucking did happen. If the Capitol Riots achieved what they were meant to, it almost certainly would have ended up with civil war, as factions of the government and military would divide between those who saw the coup as it was, and those who believe the big lie. Both of them would see eradicating the other as doing their duty to their country.
Nowadays? it's still a shitshow but it's the usual shitshow. It's moving away from the possibility of civil war.
This. Another Jan 6th is the best we can hope for at this point. If Trump wins, it will be much worse than the first time. If he loses, but wins the coupe, then we get a civil war. I don't like how 2 of the 3 options are a national shit show as opposed to a failed insurrection (best scenario at this point).
I don't think Trump has the political capital to stage a successful coup at this point.
Even those that still believe in the big lie would be hesitant to join another coup attempt. They've seen how the Jan 6th attempt failed and how the participants have fucked around and found out. Donny did not protect them like they thought he would. Not to mention he only uses his own Truth Social now, which kneecaps his reach when compared to his old Twitter account.
It's already underway and the cold civil war between Republicans and everyone else is one of the battle fronts. Ukraine is another.
You don't need the USA to be involved for a World War to start. If anything, a civil war in the USA could help spark one.
The peace built after World War II was mainly founded on American and Soviet force not intervening with each other, then American military dominance. Without a USA like power acting as a guarantor of the current international system, it is very likely that decades of pent up aggression will start to spill forward across the globe, including between other major powers.
We won't have World War 3 but there will be wars happening.