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#Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills

ESPN Gamecast

Highmark Stadium- Orchard Park, NY

Network(s): PRIME VIDEO (All prime games are streamed on twitch for free)


Time Clock
Final

Scoreboard

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total
TB 0 10 0 8 18
BUF 3 14 7 0 24

Scoring Plays

Team Quarter Type Description
BUF 1 FG Tyler Bass 37 Yd Field Goal
BUF 2 TD Josh Allen 13 Yd Run (Tyler Bass Kick)
TB 2 FG Chase McLaughlin 57 Yd Field Goal
TB 2 TD Chris Godwin 3 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Chase McLaughlin Kick)
BUF 2 TD Dalton Kincaid 22 Yd pass from Josh Allen (Tyler Bass Kick)
BUF 3 TD Gabe Davis 4 Yd pass from Josh Allen (Tyler Bass Kick)
TB 4 TD Mike Evans 24 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Baker Mayfield Pass to Cade Otton for Two-Point Conversion)

Passing Leaders

Team Player C/ATT YDS TD INT SACKS
TB Baker Mayfield 25/42 237 2 0 3-13
BUF Josh Allen 31/40 324 2 1 2-12

Rushing Leaders

Team Player CAR YDS AVG TD LONG
TB Rachaad White 9 39 4.3 0 15
BUF James Cook 14 67 4.8 0 18

Receiving Leaders

Team Player REC YDS AVG TD LONG TGTS
TB Rachaad White 7 70 10.0 0 20 7
BUF Khalil Shakir 6 92 15.3 0 30 6

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1% chance to win if you fail. 2% chance to win if you succeed.

Actual decision - punt.

This is the 4th time tonight that Todd Boyles has made the analytically incorrect decision.

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When the top receivers in the league are talked about, AJ brown is often mentioned but not before Tyreek Hill or Justin Jefferson or jamarr chase (typically). What about their games sets them apart from or above AJ brown if anything?

Can someone that watches film here point to what aspects of browns game, if any, lack in comparison to the three aforementioned receivers.

Where do Davante Adams, cooper Kupp, and Stefon Diggs rank as well? We can all agree the 7 receivers mentioned are the top 7 in the league but there is usually a tier between 3-4 of them and the remaining.

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I'm not talking about a kicker, or a punter, or even like a short yardage back or something. Has there ever been a guy who was known for being an elite gunner (guy on the punting team who tries to down the ball on a punt that isn't fielded by a returner)? Or a special teams tackler? Or long snapper? I don't even know if people pay attention to things like this; just curious.

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2% chance to win if conversion is successful. 1% if it fails.

Actual decision - punt.

This is the 3rd analytically-incorrect decision that Todd Boyles has made tonight.

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You get the divisions best players for the roster, best city/market, best head coaches from each division etc.

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47% chance of a successful 4th down conversion. 33% chance of a successful FG.

  • If FG is successful: 12% chance to win

  • If FG fails: 6% chance to win

  • If conversion is successful: 12% chance to win.

  • If conversion fails: 7% chance to win.

Actual decision made - take a delay of game penalty and then punt.

Todd Boyles is just consistently making the mathematically incorrect decisions tonight.

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Buccaneers - Baker Mayfield

Bills - Kyle Allen

49ers - Sam Darnold

Lions - Teddy Bridgewater

Bears - PJ Walker

Patriots - Will Grier

Falcons - Taylor Heinicke

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Genuinely curious on this one. I know there are other factors involved such as team need and players available, but removing those from the equation, would you?

Personally, I am on the fence, but leaning towards yes. Very curious to hear what the rest of the NFL community thinks as I am biased.

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“The Chargers, and Telesco specifically, have attempted to build an offense through the draft, and a defense through free agency. The critical issue here, however, is that no game-breaking defensive players are ever available in free agency.

Conversely, receivers like Tyreek Hill, A.J. Brown, and Stefon Diggs, and Pro Bowl offensive linemen like Joe Thuney, Orlando Brown Jr., and Terron Armstead, have all become available the past 3 offseasons via trade or free agency.

If the Chargers were to have dealt the first-round pick they used on Zion Johnson (one pick above what Philadelphia traded) to the Titans for A.J. Brown, would the team not fare better? If they used money on Joe Thuney, who has been a staple of Patrick Mahomes' league-leading offensive line for the past couple of seasons, as opposed to JC Jackson, would the offense be better? My guess is indubitably, yes. “

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52% chance of a successful 4th down conversion. 66% chance of a successful FG.

  • If FG is successful: 18% chance to win

  • If FG fails: 12% chance to win

  • If conversion is successful: 21% chance to win.

  • If conversion fails: 13% chance to win.

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#Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills

ESPN Gamecast

Highmark Stadium- Orchard Park, NY

Network(s): PRIME VIDEO (All prime games are streamed on twitch for free)


Injury Report

Team Player Status
BUF Baylon Spector Out
BUF Quintin Morris Out
BUF Damar Hamlin Out
BUF Germain Ifedi Out
BUF Kaiir Elam Out
TB Sean Tucker Out
TB Vita Vea Out
TB Markees Watts Out
TB David Wells Out
TB Patrick O'Connor Out

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^This ^was ^created ^by ^a ^bot. ^For ^issues ^or ^suggestions ^please ^message ^nfl_gdt_bot. ^This ^bot ^had ^to ^be ^rewritten ^from ^the ^ground ^up. ^Please ^be ^patient ^while ^bugs ^are ^squashed ^and ^enhancements ^are ^made.

^Last ^updated: ^2023-10-26_19:16:31.758046-04:00

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I’m shocked this hasn’t been brought up but Chiefs-Broncos in Denver on Sunday is expected to be freezing cold with some snow. Accuweather is calling for a high of 30 degrees with 3-6 inches of snow before kickoff. It could be our first snow game of this NFL season and I’m curious to see how the teams will adjust given that it hasn’t gotten that cold yet in either market

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Football, as we know it will not exist at some point in the near future. It is simply too violent of a game. The likelihood of developing CTE is way too high and is essentially equivalent to getting dementia in your middle ages. Prior to very recent times, a player saying I'm not right coach, I'm not going back in....that was just simply not something a player could do. The team would pump them full of painkillers, slap them on the ass, and say go get em' champ. What we're seeing with Deshaun is perfectly normal and logical human behavior. He doesn't feel 100%, can't be blackballed with a fully guaranteed contract, and the generational wealth guaranteed by the end of his current contract, so no wonder he's choosing not to play.

Virtually everyone who reads this, if we took one NFL carry, it would be the hardest any of us have ever been hit, save for people that have been in significant car accidents. We wouldn't feel right for weeks, maybe even a few months. Human self-preservation coupled with massive contracts that can guarantee generational wealth for star players will result in an NFL where none of the top guys are willing to risk it for the biscuit. The inherent violence in the sport requires linemen to be proud that despite their socks being wet from the piss that ran down their leg, despite having a couple broken fingers, despite playing through a concussion and a bloody damn nose...they did their job, they proved how tough they were, sacrificing their body led to their team winning. Damn it to hell that at the age of 45, his brain will look like an 80 year old dementia patient, damn it to hell that his mobility will mirror that of an elderly person in his middle ages...he was a tough son of a bitch and sacrificing all that helped their team win.

Long story short the young guys making 20M a year don't need to have that mentality and will not have that mentality. They will make business decisions, and it will result in an NFL where guys aren't sacrificing their bodies. The football we know and love requires that sacrifice, and I'm not sure about you guys, but I'm not getting CTE and struggling to get out of bed for all the money in the world. Some things just cost too much.

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"Ask any NFL fan these days, and they probably have an opinion on the "Brotherly Shove," the "Tush Push" or whatever you call the Philadelphia Eagles' super short-yardage play -- the one that's been as close to automatic as anything going in the game these days.

Eagles fans love it. Their opponents surely don't -- even if many try to incorporate the modified quarterback sneak play into their own arsenals. Some coaches have even said publicly they want the play banned.

But then again, most other teams don't have the success rate the Eagles do when they try to deploy it. Philadelphia's version starts with QB Jalen Hurts lining up behind center Jason Kelce, typically with two or three other Eagles players encircling Hurts. When Kelce snaps the ball, Hurts plunges forward, aided by his teammates' shoves.

And it almost always ends in an Eagles first down, and sometimes in a touchdown.

The play has been nearly impossible for opponents of the Eagles to stop -- Philly was 4 for 4 using it against the Dolphins on Sunday -- but also difficult to mimic. Kelce said in an interview Thursday with NFL Network's Steve Wyche and James Palmer on The NFL Report that the mechanics of the play are a lot trickier to master than it might look on TV.

"We've repped it a lot," Kelce said. "It's not uncommon to fumble a snap on a quarterback sneak. … As soon as that ball is moving, you're moving forward or changing your leverage and bending down. The quarterback is already moving forward to be able to start pushing. If you do not rep that exact mechanism, and all of a sudden in the first time in a game you're doing it for the first time, it's going to feel weird."

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Kelce and Hurts might be the key pieces of the operation, but Kelce said the real secret is that it's crucial to get the timing of everyone down to make it really work.

"It's important even in practice -- especially before you run it in a game at all during the season or with a new quarterback -- to really get that feeling down with the guy," Kelce said. "It's not just the center-quarterback, it's everybody across the board. How we're hitting the blocks, where we're starting, who's working with who."

But the Eagles have gotten so good at it that head coach Nick Sirianni isn't afraid to break it out at almost any time. Sunday against the Dolphins, the Eagles' offense was originally sent off the field for the punt team on fourth-and-1 from their own 26-yard line, with Philly clinging to a seven-point lead.

After a moment of thought, Sirianni sent his offense back out there. Naturally, they converted.

Now Sirianni is facing questions about the play and whether it should be part of football. His retort? The fact that it's hard to master is why it shouldn't be banned."

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Cook, 28, says his yards per carry average is down because he’s not getting a lot of touches and didn’t expect his role to be this limited when he signed a 1-year/$7M deal with the Jets.

"I prepare myself. I work my tail off. I just want the situation to be best for both sides," Cook said during today's media session.

"Of course it's frustrating. It's new for me. I come from getting the ball 20 times a game. It's something I'm adapting to," Cook said. Regarding a potential trade ahead of October 31st's deadline, Cook said those are conversations that he can have with his agent and Jets' GM Joe Douglas, but he hasn't necessarily requested a move.

Cook has rushed for 109 yards on 39 carries (2.8 YPC) to go along with 9 rec., for 46 rec. yards in six games this season.

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I saw that some people have been asking about the previous years power rankings. I maintain graphs of Elo rankings, Colley rankings, and Massey rankings using my code for analytical purposes. I quickly put together these graphs based on my existing code, inputting r/NFL rankings and it turned out quite well for a quick overview. If you would like to see rankings from other years, please let me know. Also, if you come across any naming issues, such as OAK, it's due to me being lazy with my own data, I hate team name changes. If you look at the charts and notice anything wrong, such as teams in the wrong charts or incorrect numbers, let me know, I automated this but quick eye test looked good. I'll be happy to make adjustments."

| NFC | NFC EAST | NFC WEST | NFC NORTH | NFC SOUTH | AFC | AFC EAST | AFC WEST | AFC NORTH | AFC SOUTH |

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