this post was submitted on 21 Nov 2023
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I beg to differ. The startups that use GPT 4 API for their software can readily switch to PALM 2, Claude 2 or the other competitive Language models.
The startups add a lot of proprietary code to create value out of base language model. They also learn many things about the user behaviour. These things don't change even if OpenAI shuts down completely.
Furthermore, GPT 4 is going nowhere - before everyone leaves OpenAI, it will surely be merged with Msft in the worst case scenario. So there's that.
Also, even if GPT 4 gets shut down, Msft has such clauses in their contract that they can get the weights and run it on Azure.
So all in all, there is no concern for such startups.
Yep, openAI isn't years ahead.
If they go south, by the time the decide to shutdown, Google, Microsoft or Facebook will already be ahead by quite a margin.
Opensource isn't also years behing either, as soon as OpenAI stops moving they'll lose all of their first movers advantage.
It's not like they can take GPT 4 with them, but if you have the staff that understands the model and training process, you're really not that far away (if you have the money to pay for training, like MSFT easily has).
Not only that, I'm willing to bet MS already has an inhouse unreleased LLM already developed in some quantitative capacity.