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It's the economy.
Middle management MAGA and up are doing "great" in the K-shaped economic recovery. Many of them want everyone to know it, and they've taken on the elitist talking points that boil down to "if you're struggling financially, it's due to your own personal failings."
So, people who ARE struggling (and that trends very high in people with lower educational attainment regardless of political leanings but really covers everyone up to solid middle class) get turned off by that messaging.
Right leaning folks in that lower leg still believe the "Democrats are communists and immigrants are violent human-trafficking rapists" talking points they hear from the president and their media bubble. But when they see that the "LOW PRICES" didn't pan out and they're struggling more and they lost their health insurance and their kids are dying from opioid laced drugs and their parents lost their medicaid and their taxes didn't actually go down and those manufacturing jobs never materialized and then on top of that they're seeing people at the top literally flying to space and wearing multi-million dollar watches while they lay off their workers -- the reality of all that triggers cognitive dissonance in some of those who aren't actually fully willfully ignorant.