this post was submitted on 26 Aug 2026
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The sombre mien—that’s what stayed with me. On Saturday, Mark Carney looked less like a prime minister briefing media on trade negotiations than a wartime leader telling his country a feared turn had finally arrived and preparing them for a long ordeal. The intense, all-out effort to stop crushing new tariffs had failed, with Carney grimly explaining that the United States insists on “short-term transactions” rather than “long-term partnerships” and that its commitments could no longer be assumed to hold.

American demands reportedly went well beyond tariffs, market access, and sectoral protections. They targeted Canada’s freedom to set domestic cultural policy, interpret agreements it had already signed, and conduct trade relations with third countries. The loss of our sovereignty was too high a price for preserving economic integration. What prime minister would accept Canada becoming a vassal state on his watch? With the collapse of talks, and Carney describing the country as being “attacked,” it’s hard not to feel like we have crossed into a different moment—that we are living in a slightly darker reality.

Throughout the weekend, The Walrus spoke to economists, policy experts, and political observers about what exactly has changed and what this new period might demand of Canada.

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[–] goodguys9@lemmy.ca 5 points 1 day ago (2 children)

I apologize for linking to a U.S. website, but here's a polling average for the midterm for those curious: https://www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ballot-average-2026-nate-silver-bulletin-congress-polls

It looks like Trump's party is indeed behind right now at least.

[–] SaveTheTuaHawk@lemmy.ca 6 points 1 day ago (4 children)

Polls are pointless. People respond to polls who never vote.

[–] DMCMNFIBFFF@lemmy.ca 2 points 10 hours ago (1 children)
[–] SaveTheTuaHawk@lemmy.ca 1 points 5 hours ago (1 children)

But 2016 polls said it was a Clinton landslide.

[–] DMCMNFIBFFF@lemmy.ca 1 points 3 hours ago* (last edited 3 hours ago)
[–] scrodumb@lemmy.ca 3 points 1 day ago

Nate Silver uses an aggregate of dozens of polls and weights each one based on numerous factors including historical accuracy and bias.

His model correctly projected Trump win in 2015 even when most polls said otherwise.

Lessons from the pointless forest, you don't have to have a point to have a point. but all polls have a point spread.

[–] goodguys9@lemmy.ca 2 points 1 day ago

They tend to get within 1-2% of the actual vote on election day, so I wouldn't say pointless. They can certainly miss a tight issue, but trend lines are meaningful too.

[–] Voroxpete@sh.itjust.works 3 points 1 day ago

Ouch. Those are really bad numbers for the GOP.