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Bill Gates told a German newspaper that GPT5 wouldn't be much better than GPT4: "there are reasons to believe that we have reached a plateau" [N] (www.handelsblatt.com)

submitted 11 months ago by we_are_mammals@alien.top to c/machinelearning@academy.garden

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[–] psyyduck@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (2 children)

Let's ask GPT4!

You're probably talking about the "fallacy of composition". This logical fallacy occurs when it's assumed that what is true for individual parts will also be true for the whole group or system. It's a mistaken belief that specific attributes of individual components must necessarily be reflected in the larger structure or collection they are part of.

Here are some clearly flawed examples illustrating the fallacy of composition.

Building Strength: Believing that if a single brick can hold a certain amount of weight, a wall made of these bricks can hold the same amount of weight per brick. This ignores the structural integrity and distribution of weight in a wall.

Athletic Team: Assuming that a sports team will be unbeatable because it has a few star athletes. This ignores the importance of teamwork, strategy, and the fact that the performance of a team is not just the sum of its individual players' skills.

These examples highlight the danger of oversimplifying complex systems or groups by extrapolating from individual components. They show that the interactions and dynamics within a system play a crucial role in determining the overall outcome, and these interactions can't be understood by just looking at individual parts in isolation.

[–] kelkulus@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

I dunno. The “fallacy of composition” is just made up of 3 words, and there’s not a lot that you can explain with only three words.

[–] MohKohn@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

How... did it map oversimplification to... holistic thinking??? Saying that it's "just statistics" is wrong because "just statistics" covers some very complicated models in principle. They weren't saying that simple subsystems are incapable of generating complex behavior.

God, why do people think these things are intelligent? I guess people fall for cons all the time...