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Bill Gates told a German newspaper that GPT5 wouldn't be much better than GPT4: "there are reasons to believe that we have reached a plateau" [N] (www.handelsblatt.com)

submitted 1 year ago by we_are_mammals@alien.top to c/machinelearning@academy.garden

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[–] liongalahad@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

I'm not an expert by any means, just someone who is interested and reads AI news, but lately it seems like optimisation and efficiency work better than increasing parameters to improve performance of LLMs. And research is also clearly pointing at different architectures, other than transformers, to improve performance. I'd be surprised if GPT5 , which is 2-3 years away, will be just a mere development of GPT4, i.e. a LLM with many more parameters. These statements from Bill seem a little bit short sighted and contradictory to the general consensus.

I am also aware of the Dunning-Krueger effect and how it may be tricking me into thinking I somewhat understand things I have no idea of lol