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Bill Gates feels Generative AI has plateaued, says GPT-5 will not be any better (indianexpress.com)

submitted 11 months ago by L4s@lemmy.world to c/technology@lemmy.world

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Bill Gates feels Generative AI has plateaued, says GPT-5 will not be any better::The billionaire philanthropist in an interview with German newspaper Handelsblatt, shared his thoughts on Artificial general intelligence, climate change, and the scope of AI in the future.

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[–] Red_October@lemmy.world -5 points 11 months ago (5 children)

And the Wright Brothers said heavier than air flight would only ever be an amusement for the rich, and never commercially viable.

Even taking Gates' qualifications at face value doesn't mean he's actually right.

[–] dustyData@lemmy.world 21 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Source on that quote from the Wright brothers? Because they never said that as far as I'm aware.

[–] RememberTheApollo@lemmy.world 17 points 11 months ago

They didn’t, AFAIK. It was a NYT article that quoted someone who made a similar prediction:

Once the Wright Brothers proved flight was possible, some assumed it was just a pointless rich play thing. Famed astronomer William H. Pickering said, “The expense would be prohibitive to any but the capitalist who could use his own yacht.”

[–] Imgonnatrythis@sh.itjust.works 14 points 11 months ago (1 children)

You didn't read the Wright brothers or this article did you? Gates isn't at all damning AI tech. All he said is that gpt 5 is unlikely to be very different from 4. He's probably correct. A next best word algorithm can only go so far. Thats only a part of how language and cognition works. Until some sort of adjunct algorithm gets tagged on I don't think we will see big leaps either.

[–] danielbln@lemmy.world 1 points 11 months ago

They are already bolting on multi modality, autonomous agent behavior and so on. Most uses are no longer just token prediction, but a whole soup of other models and data injection. That sort of combination of things will get us to the next level )and already has in many ways).

[–] gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works 2 points 11 months ago

And 640k ought to be enough for anybody.