this post was submitted on 14 Feb 2024
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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world. About 1C of total warming. Second chart: about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability. Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases. About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

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Shell Sees Demand Surging for Liquefied Natural Gas (www.nytimes.com)
submitted 9 months ago by einat2346@lemmy.today to c/climate@slrpnk.net
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[–] MrMakabar@slrpnk.net 2 points 9 months ago

Shell knows that by pretending gas will be needed in the future, governments will support gas infrastructure, which turns it into a self for filling prophecy.

Anyway looking at the report, it seems rather odd to me. Gas demand in the EU is supposed to be stable, besides massive built up in renewable generation and even more importantly record heat pump sales, with laws phasing out gas boilers in multiple countries. Most EU countries already phased out coal electricity production and I doubt that will grow any day soon.

China is not going to be dependent on the US and Australia for LNG. They are not that dumb.

Japan and South Korea have falling populations so energy demand will shrink. Japan is restarting its nuclear power plants, which should reduce coal consumption a lot and lead to lower gas consumption.