this post was submitted on 20 Feb 2024
812 points (98.4% liked)

News

22890 readers
4783 users here now

Welcome to the News community!

Rules:

1. Be civil


Attack the argument, not the person. No racism/sexism/bigotry. Good faith argumentation only. This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban.


2. All posts should contain a source (url) that is as reliable and unbiased as possible and must only contain one link.


Obvious right or left wing sources will be removed at the mods discretion. We have an actively updated blocklist, which you can see here: https://lemmy.world/post/2246130 if you feel like any website is missing, contact the mods. Supporting links can be added in comments or posted seperately but not to the post body.


3. No bots, spam or self-promotion.


Only approved bots, which follow the guidelines for bots set by the instance, are allowed.


4. Post titles should be the same as the article used as source.


Posts which titles don’t match the source won’t be removed, but the autoMod will notify you, and if your title misrepresents the original article, the post will be deleted. If the site changed their headline, the bot might still contact you, just ignore it, we won’t delete your post.


5. Only recent news is allowed.


Posts must be news from the most recent 30 days.


6. All posts must be news articles.


No opinion pieces, Listicles, editorials or celebrity gossip is allowed. All posts will be judged on a case-by-case basis.


7. No duplicate posts.


If a source you used was already posted by someone else, the autoMod will leave a message. Please remove your post if the autoMod is correct. If the post that matches your post is very old, we refer you to rule 5.


8. Misinformation is prohibited.


Misinformation / propaganda is strictly prohibited. Any comment or post containing or linking to misinformation will be removed. If you feel that your post has been removed in error, credible sources must be provided.


9. No link shorteners.


The auto mod will contact you if a link shortener is detected, please delete your post if they are right.


10. Don't copy entire article in your post body


For copyright reasons, you are not allowed to copy an entire article into your post body. This is an instance wide rule, that is strictly enforced in this community.

founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
 

Over 100 children at the school are susceptible to virus.

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[–] darkmogool@feddit.de 2 points 7 months ago (10 children)
[–] JustUseMint@lemmy.world 22 points 7 months ago (9 children)

Yeah, but it's a hundred kids suffering, not the idiot parents.

[–] zergtoshi@lemmy.world 5 points 7 months ago (1 children)

And with some small but non-zero chance dying several years later from SSPE.

[–] elvith@feddit.de 2 points 7 months ago (1 children)

It has been estimated that about 2 in 10,000 people who get measles will eventually develop SSPE

Depending in your view, thats not a really low chance. Since we're talking of a chance to die - I'd say it's high.

However, a 2016 study estimated that the rate for unvaccinated infants under 15 months was as high as 1 in 609.

Oops - kids at school are older, but these numbers are way higher... Let's just run both and see what happens. I don't have enough data, to do some "real math" but someone mentioned about 100 students being at risk of getting infected as they're unvaccinated. Lets just assume all of them get infected.

First: 2 in 10000 will develop SSPE, that means 9998 in 10000 won't. For 100 students: (9998/10000)^100 = 0.98 so, a 98% chance, that no-one is affected and tha lt means a 2% chance, that at least one is affected by SSPE.

Second number: 1 in 609 means, that 608 in 609 won't. For 100 students: (608/609)^100 = 0.85 so that's an 85% chance that nothing happens and a whopping 15% chance that at least one student develops SSPE.

I know this math I likely not near reality, but damn.

load more comments (7 replies)
load more comments (7 replies)