this post was submitted on 15 May 2024
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A new poll of committed voters sees the provincial Conservatives under John Rustad climbing to within six points of the B.C. NDP.

“What looked like an easy (B.C.) NDP victory at the end of last year now looks more uncertain now,” David Coletto, Abacus Data chief executive officer, said.

But if the poll shows a substantial shift in the intention of voters toward the provincial Conservatives, Coletto also sees the provincial New Democrats likely winning another majority.

The party, he added, remains in a “strong position, despite widespread concern about the cost of living and the direction of the province.”

The poll released Tuesday (May 14) shows the B.C. NDP would receive 40 per cent of the decided vote, down four per cent from a poll conducted in November, while the provincial Conservatives would receive 34 per cent, up eight per cent. B.C. United under Leader Kevin Falcon would receive 13 per cent, down four per cent. The B.C. Greens would receive 10 per cent, up one per cent.

Eby remains by far the most popular provincial party leader with a net positive rating of 13 per cent, followed by B.C. Green Leader Sonia Furstenau (plus two per cent) and Rustad (minus three per cent). Falcon has a net approval rating of -15 per cent. Coletto added that Rustad is no more known than he was at the end of last year.

The B.C. NDP is ahead by six point in Metro Vancouver, by 15 points on Vancouver Island and statistically tied with the B.C. Conservatives in the Interior and North.

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[–] BlameThePeacock@lemmy.ca 3 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago) (1 children)

There hasn't been a campaign yet, barely anyone knows this guy or the party. There wasn't even a viable Conservative party before he got kicked out of the Liberals. It remains to be seen if they can actually raise enough money, and organize enough people, to fight one properly.

There will be MANY attack NDP ads against Rustad, he's provided plenty of ammo after being kicked out of the Liberals for climate change denialism among his other statements. There's also the fact that the only other current BC Conservative member just tried to re-open the abortion debate a few days ago.

BCU will also dump almost all their funding into fighting them, since that's who took most of their base.

[–] Beaver@lemmy.ca 2 points 6 months ago

Thank goodness there are restrictions on donations I believe BC people are smarter.