Canada

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If Canada does not meet its spending commitments, it could open itself up to pressure from Mr Trump if he wins November's presidential election.

European allies may also grow resentful, said Christopher Sands, head of the Washington DC-based Wilson Center’s Canada Institute.Canada is already feeling the consequences in other ways, he said.

It has ambitions to be part of US-led Indo-Pacific economic talks, which includes countries like Australia, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and South Korea.

It has also been excluded from the AUKUS defence pact between Australia, the UK and the US.“That’s where the real rubber hits the road for Canada.

At the onset of the war in Afghanistan in 2001, deficits in Canada’s military capabilities became clear and launched a wave of spending, said Mr Sands.But Canada is still playing catch up after decades of neglect and struggles when it comes to critical issues like procurement.Aside from the pointed remarks by Speaker Johnson, experts anticipate much of the pressure on Canada at the Nato summit will be made behind closed doors, rather than direct criticism aimed at Mr Trudeau.“It’s a little delicate because Canada is doing quite a bit in terms of tangible contributions,” Prof Legassé said.That includes support for Ukraine and work leading the multinational Nato battlegroup in Latvia.He added that US President Joe Biden and a number of other Nato leaders are ideologically aligned with Mr Trudeau, the Liberal Party leader, and would prefer not to pressure him publicly.

“They don’t necessarily want to give fuel to the idea amongst Canadian conservatives and the general public that the Trudeau government is failing miserably,” he said.

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