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I don't think they want Russia to win. I think they want Russia to throw everything they have at Ukraine until their military is depleted. And that means keeping this war going longer.
I'm not suggesting this is a morally defensible position, just that's what I think they want.
People often say that seems to be the rationale, but I don't quite buy it. Artificially prolonging the war has much bigger risks involved as it lets Russia not only learn from their mistakes (which they have been doing, regardless of what people often seem to think. Not that they've suddenly unfucked themselves but still), and it also gives them time to regenerate their forces and move their country more and more towards a war economy.
If the assumption is that EU and US leaders are just cold and calculating but still want Russia to lose, it's hard to imagine they'd choose this drip feeding tactic
There's only so many forces that can exist. You wear them down, they'll run out of people. It's already happening. They conscripted prisoners and that's not even enough, so they are coercing people from other countries to come to Russia and then conscripting them.
It's a pretty morally reprehensible thing to do, but I could see them thinking that's worth doing.
But the thing is that Ukraine is getting worn down as well, and the longer this drags out the more emboldened Russia will become, not to mention the fact that right now Ukraine doesn't have the capacity for retaking territory – if the war ends with Russia making territorial gains, you can bet your ass this won't be the last Russian invasion in Europe in the near future.
But who could they invade it with? The betting, as I see it, is that they are essentially sacrificing Ukraine to save their own asses. Russia is just running out of people to put on the lines.
Russian population growth isn't 0, though. Yes, the war's going to make a demographic dent, but they've turned their schools into military indoctrination machines
It isn't zero but it takes a long time to replace a decimated military. Even if you take conscription down to 16, you can only lose so many people per year before you can't replace them before they age up quickly enough.