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They do have the ability to percieve the results of their actions, and they know if they cut Israel loose, they lose the election.
Israeli vs. Palestinian support isn't nearly so overwhelming that there is simply one side that guarantees loss. This is an excuse by you for them, not a truth of politics.
It actually is when the AIPAC machine is against you:
https://www.commondreams.org/news/progressives-lose-oregon-primaries
https://apnews.com/article/cori-bush-aipac-house-race-missouri-568c1a84974b8ba176a8d27a8375de42
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/jun/26/the-aipac-funded-candidate-defeated-jamaal-bowman-but-at-what-cost
https://www.haaretz.com/us-news/2024-08-07/ty-article/another-victory-for-aipac-wesley-bell-and-8-5-million-defeat-squad-member-cori-bush/00000191-2adb-d2a9-a5dd-3edb30180001