this post was submitted on 17 Mar 2025
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If US automakers move out, Canada will just move another brand in, Honda, Toyota, BMW, Mercedes, lots of options. There will be a huge opening in the truck market too.
We are currently looking at a new truck and had decided on a Ford F150, just waiting until summer, but now, the decision process has reopened, and I will be considering any non-US made truck. Just need alot of towing capacity which seems to be the catch...
Toyota Tundra
Toyota and Honda at least are already here
Those other auto makers will also face "choosing 1 country". I think they are less integrated among crossborder plants for repeated partial assembly steps. AFAIU, the big 3 use canadian parts in engines. Japan/Korea might import their engines. I don't actually know. I do know that Canadian costs are lower than US now. That cheaper steel and aluminum and energy from less supply to US (export tariffs if necessary) can mean a much higher cost differential in favour of Canadian production.
There are 15 car models assembled in Canada. A fair range, but no trucks other than Rav 4. There could be production increases if Canadians just buy from that model selection. There are cars/EVs made in Mexico too.
Aluminum tariffs alone are expected to add $6000 in costs to big heavy trucks such as f150.
Yeah but there's a bigger market in the US. And they have more purchasing power. That might be a good enough reason for them to move there. Tariffs will have an impact but that won't matter much. Unfortunately
That is the problem. Incentives to keep at least Canadian production for Canadian demand is basic. But the cost advantage could be high enough to export to US even with tariffs. Canada never buying a US car again, is reason to try to prefer Canada production.