this post was submitted on 17 Oct 2023
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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

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Approval of new gas export terminals will lock in greenhouse gas emissions for decades, say activists, who are pressing Biden to halt these projects

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[–] Franzia@lemmy.blahaj.zone 4 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

The most important question to me is this: What has the EU done, since the war, to reduce the need to burn Natural Gas?

German Heat Pump Initiative

Guardian: UK vs French Heat Pump Quantities

Has the US supported them in that goal?

US Might send Heat Pumps to EU

Vox: US Defense Production Act

Is this an emergency or is it opportunistic?

Yes, it's opportunistic. The US government is not searxhjng for or building out new solutions to EU energy demands. Prices are remaining high based on marketing about the war. Gas companies are making an enormous profit.

People like me who think "Oh but we need the gas, to replace Russian supply, because of the war" are buying in to a narrative this is useful for profiteering gas corporations.

LA Times: Oppose CP2
Sierra Club: Oppose CP2

Greenpeace: Biden Can Stop CP2

Recent Greenpeace International research debunked the gas industry’s claim that new terminal projects are necessary to address the short-term energy crunch in Europe.

The point that all of these climate activists are getting at is that in order to approve this project, the Department of Energy needs to decide it's in the public interest and has public approval. So while they've never rejected a project based on this clause before, climate activism could potentially meet this as a challenge. If we shout from the rooftops about this, we could pressure the DOE into stopping.

GP: How Gas Profits from the Ukraine War

[–] MrMakabar@slrpnk.net 4 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

As for what the EU has done to reduce gas consumption:

Other then that EU gas storage is full and as long as there are no large unforseen events, the next winter will be fine and after that gas consumption is likely to drop, but propably at a slower pace then 13.2%.