this post was submitted on 20 Oct 2023
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The reason "win now" can work is because 1/2 the teams are out of contention before the season starts.
If all 30 teams draft from scratch right now, the 30 teams would be much more balanced -- making "win now" very difficult.
It would be smarter to build for the future.
However, if everyone thought that, the meta would be to draft for win now I suppose. But I expect most owners would be trying for big names now, so I'd still go future.
Yeah it’s an interesting question because the optimal strategy depends on what the other GMs perceive the optimal strategy to be. Which then begs the question: would it be better to pick later (say 10th) so that you can see which way the first 9 picks, vs picking first and having less information to go off of?