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Last week I posted about the unofficial r\nba Win Totals league, where members of the sub can predict the records of each team this upcoming season. You can still sign up - picks lock Tuesday night at tip-off!
Winner gets an NBA League Pass Subscription for the 24-25 season!
Looking at the projections of the members that have signed up and made predictions so far, there are some interesting places of disagreement. Notably, r/nba thinks the big dawgs of the East will rack up a few more wins than their O/U would suggest.
The Top 5 Overrated Teams According to r/nba
- New Orleans Hornets (predicting 3.3 fewer wins than Vegas)
- Charlotte Hornets (predicting 2.6 fewer wins than Vegas)
- Houston Rockets (predicting 2.4 fewer wins than Vegas)
- Dallas Mavericks (predicting 2.1 fewer wins than Vegas)
- Los Angeles Clippers (predicting 2.1 fewer wins than Vegas)
The Top 5 Underrated Teams According to r/nba
- Milwaukee Bucks (predicting 2.6 more wins than Vegas)
- Boston Celtics (predicting 1.8 more wins than Vegas)
- Toronto Raptors (predicting 1.4 more wins than Vegas)
- Washington Wizards (predicting 1.4 more wins than Vegas)
- Detroit Pistons (predicting 1.1 more wins than Vegas)
Here is the full set of data so far:
| Team | r/nba | Vegas (FD) O/U | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Bucks | 56.1 | 53.5 | 2.6 |
| Boston Celtics | 56.3 | 54.5 | 1.8 |
| Toronto Raptors | 37.9 | 36.5 | 1.4 |
| Washington Wizards | 25.9 | 24.5 | 1.4 |
| Detroit Pistons | 25.6 | 24.5 | 1.1 |
| Denver Nuggets | 53.6 | 52.5 | 1.1 |
| Sacramento Kings | 45.5 | 44.5 | 1.0 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 47.1 | 46.5 | 0.6 |
| New York Knicks | 46.1 | 45.5 | 0.6 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 44.8 | 44.5 | 0.3 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 47.8 | 47.5 | 0.3 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 43.6 | 43.5 | 0.1 |
| Brooklyn Nets | 37.6 | 37.5 | 0.1 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 42.5 | 42.5 | 0.0 |
| Miami Heat | 44.5 | 44.5 | 0.0 |
| Orlando Magic | 37.4 | 37.5 | -0.1 |
| Chicago Bulls | 37.2 | 37.5 | -0.3 |
| Phoenix Suns | 50.8 | 51.5 | -0.7 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 27.7 | 28.5 | -0.8 |
| Indiana Pacers | 38.6 | 39.5 | -0.9 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 26.1 | 27.5 | -1.4 |
| Golden State Warriors | 46.0 | 47.5 | -1.5 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 48.9 | 50.5 | -1.6 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 44.8 | 46.5 | -1.7 |
| Utah Jazz | 33.6 | 35.5 | -1.9 |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 43.4 | 45.5 | -2.1 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 41.4 | 43.5 | -2.1 |
| Houston Rockets | 29.1 | 31.5 | -2.4 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 28.9 | 31.5 | -2.6 |
| New Orleans Hornets | 41.2 | 44.5 | -3.3 |
As usual, we'll take stock of all this at the end of the season.
I don't think Milwaukee or Boston have the depth or durability to hit this sub's OU. They're built for the playoffs
THey are built for the playoffs if everyone is healthy.
This is true about literally every team. All of them that have ever existed.