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I'm skeptical. Even knowing how paranoid Daniel is about, well....everything.
Who remembers the last time a custom ROM got an OEM deal? It is the reason Lineage OS exists today...
With everything Google is doing with Android, they might not have a choice. It's either this or possibly one day no longer being able to work on Graphene.
Graphene would be better off cutting themselves off from Google's OS future entirely and pivot the fork as quickly as possible to remove all dependencies. Probably too arrogant to consider it, though. Also becomes much more work.
Google will forever control Android. I would prefer if he just worked on Linux (phone & desktop) to the benefit of all.
You're under-thinking it.
In pseudo-correct but probably not order:
There are industry blueprints for this. Apple is probably the best example of how to implement these shifts, from OS 9 (co-op MT proprietary OS)->OS X (BSD-NextStep-based Unix OS), 68k->PPC, Replacing Unix underpinnings with Apple Frameworks, PPC->Intel, OS X->iOS, Mac from Intel->ARM, etc. etc. They frequently used containerization to keep the old running while the new was built up around it and replaced. It is a solid proven design pattern.
And edit72: I'm not just saying "hey magic people do this" - I've done this shit. I'm down to help, and I will. But the project owners need to step up for some actual work instead of just putting potpourri on something someone else built. Annoying side-story, I figured out how to cross-compile/rebuild/fix dependencies on a CPAP app called Oscar so it would be ARM-native on ARM Macs. Couldn't figure out how to contact the devs after much digging to let them know, so. I have 1 of 1 copy of that app running ARM-MacOS native. Would be neat to help them replicate it though.
I think that sounds like a damn solid plan, personally. Not sure if the GrapheneOS devs would go for it. The lead dev (who I think stepped down, so may not be a factor now) had some strongly negative opinions towards a Linux phone due to all of its security holes compared to Android, but like... It's not as if those things couldn't be addressed like you describe. It would just take time.
Google has more people working in Android then GrapheneOS does, it's not possible for them to go completely independent.
I dearly remember my OnePlus One with CyanogenMod, if that answers your question?
But do you remember the clusterfuck that was Cyanogen Inc?
Nope, only from what I've read about it more recently. Back then I was just hyped about getting an even smarter smartphone with a better OS and all the new possibilities it brought to me. It was by no means my first smartphone, and I had already explored using my phones in interesting, useful or smart ways, but the OnePlus One felt like a very big upgrade in my daily life, especially since things were moving pretty fast on that area 10-15 years ago. CyanogenMod was definitely an important part of that improved Android experience, and I don't think the corporation clusterfuck affected that, really, as I did not at all notice what was going on over there.
That situation destroyed CM and its team. Lineage OS was the proverbial phoenix that rose from the ashes of CM.