this post was submitted on 01 Feb 2026
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A Boring Dystopia
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I never thought we'd march back up the demographic transition but here we are. Infant mortality is one of the key drivers
It's quite fascinating. People often make a statistic that "in x year, the average lifespan was 50-60" when in reality it was offset by infant mortality. I actually tried it myself with my own family- the average lifespan was 60, but the only people to die before 60 died before their first birthday, the other died two months after
yup. when i was doing... fuck i can't remember not enough coffee yet but the useful statistic was "life expectancy at age 20" because early mortality skewed that so much. we, uh, have not made as much progress on life expectancy at age 20 as you'd hope.