this post was submitted on 05 Feb 2026
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Don't fucking let "us" touch the courts, Canada.

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[–] CanadaPlus@lemmy.sdf.org 8 points 2 months ago (2 children)

The polls are looking better and better, fortunately.

[–] avidamoeba@lemmy.ca 3 points 2 months ago (1 children)
[–] CanadaPlus@lemmy.sdf.org 2 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Yup. Last poll on Dec. 20th, too. Presumably the trend has continued.

[–] avidamoeba@lemmy.ca 4 points 2 months ago

Here's to hoping it continues! 🍺

[–] tleb@lemmy.ca 3 points 2 months ago (1 children)

It's improving but NDP is still polling 5 points behind in Calgary, which is concerning

[–] CanadaPlus@lemmy.sdf.org 4 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

Where are you getting that number? The 5% lead shown here is for the whole province, including rural areas. Although I guess Edmonton is in there too.

[–] tleb@lemmy.ca 2 points 2 months ago (1 children)

https://press.liaisonstrategies.ca/alberta-ucp-ndp-locked-in-tight-race/

The critical battleground of Calgary shows a competitive landscape, with the UCP leading at 48% and the NDP trailing at 43%.

[–] CanadaPlus@futurology.today 2 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

Huh, thanks. That's actually more recent than the polls in the graph, I wonder when they're going to get it put up.

Calgary is definitely going to be the battleground. Having a prominent former Calgary mayor as candidate should help at least a bit. I can't say it's impossible we'll elect her again, but I can say all her ideas are unpopular, and that her messaging isn't strong.

[–] Auli@lemmy.ca 2 points 2 months ago (1 children)

And none of that matters. Because here in Alberta we vote by color and not policies. And yes I used American spelling on purpose.

[–] CanadaPlus@futurology.today 1 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

That pretty much is the issue, yep. If she wins, it's because she isn't so totally unacceptable that she breaks the pattern.

[–] tleb@lemmy.ca 2 points 2 months ago (1 children)

The graph is a projection based on an aggregation of polls, it already accounts for it. For context, it's from https://338canada.com/alberta

[–] CanadaPlus@futurology.today 1 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

No, it ends on Dec. 20th. It looks like your link is from 2026. They haven't added it yet.

[–] tleb@lemmy.ca 2 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Read about his methodology - this is not a graph of every poll, it's a projection on the aggregate.

[–] CanadaPlus@futurology.today 1 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

Oh you're right! My bad, sorry.

Huh, so I wonder why the graph lags behind the input data, then. The methodology page explains how they weight it, mostly.

[–] tleb@lemmy.ca 1 points 2 months ago

He manually updates the projections, though I'm not sure why he doesn't update the Alberta one very often, could just be that the data is not very good with so few polls being done.