this post was submitted on 11 Nov 2023
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Machine Learning
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I think there's a lot of bias in how you're looking at the data. In particular, for someone trained to deal with noise, you're attributing your observations to signal, not noise. What's the acceptance rate at these conferences these days? It's so low it beggars belief. The review process exists during the same duration as ever (the briefest in academia), but the raw number of submissions has exploded. There's no serious way to stack rank that much data without multiple evaluations, and that's too hard / expensive. So the end ranking is largely noise, probably only weakly correlated with the "true" ranking that would be determined by a million ML profs doing nothing but reviewing papers all the time.
You have failed in the narrow sense that you didn't earn the laurels you needed to achieve your career goals. But that isn't to say that someone else, with your fortune but their ability, would have done differently. You gambled and didn't win the grand prize.
Please don't buy into the myth that those of us who've gotten luckier are so well-served by propagating - that this field is a serious meritocracy. There's just way too little signal and way too much noise to take that belief seriously.
At least you got something. You'll get about the same money, but fewer tshirts and snacks. And you'll have to dress better.