this post was submitted on 16 Nov 2023
1 points (100.0% liked)
Machine Learning
1 readers
1 users here now
Community Rules:
- Be nice. No offensive behavior, insults or attacks: we encourage a diverse community in which members feel safe and have a voice.
- Make your post clear and comprehensive: posts that lack insight or effort will be removed. (ex: questions which are easily googled)
- Beginner or career related questions go elsewhere. This community is focused in discussion of research and new projects that advance the state-of-the-art.
- Limit self-promotion. Comments and posts should be first and foremost about topics of interest to ML observers and practitioners. Limited self-promotion is tolerated, but the sub is not here as merely a source for free advertisement. Such posts will be removed at the discretion of the mods.
founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
view the rest of the comments
There are a lot of ways you _could_ predict this. The simplest might just be to predict the modal value, assuming that these values are IID. If there is some generating process that goes through different phases, and each observation corresponds to a timestep, you might consider fitting an HMM. Others have mentioned sliding windows, and these are fine as well if there is indeed a sequential structure to this data.
How are you trying to use gradient boosting or SVM here? Predicting each in isolation, the best you should be able to do is just predicting the modal value, since you have no further information.