I don't quite remember whether it's the rectangle with all the buttons you press or the TV with all the funny pictures on it, but one of those.
LostXOR
joined 1 year ago
I liked generative AI more when it was just a funny novelty and not being advertised to everyone under the false pretenses of being smart and useful. Its architecture is incompatible with actual intelligence, and anyone who thinks otherwise is just fooling themselves. (It does make an alright autocomplete though).
"mostly unusable"
Cold fusion is actually really easy, you just, uhhhh, tickle the atoms until they're laughing so hard they start fusing together. Please give me a billion dollar research grant I'm a real scientist I swear.
Yep, even the best telescopes have a bit of inaccuracy in their measurements, and we haven't been tracking it for long enough to determine its orbit with enough precision to know its exact trajectory.
That sucks, it's always hit or miss with weather. I was obsessively watching the forecasts and ended up driving 3 hours away where clearer skies were predicted.
Looks great! I'm still out taking pics; I'll have to post some of my own after I get some sleep.
The calculations for the close approach data I'm using to calculate the probability already take the Moon's orbit into account.
It's going far too fast to be gravitationally captured.
Sure thing!
D_nominal, D_min, and D_max represent the most likely, minimum, and maximum (well technically not maximum, just 3 standard deviations from most likely, of which 99.7% of trajectories will fall within) distance 2024 YR4 will pass from the center of the Moon (NOT the surface). They're taken from the linked NASA website. R_moon is the radius of the Moon.
L_impact is length of the impact corridor (the line where 2024 YR4 could impact the Moon). Since it doesn't pass through the center of the Moon, it's not simply 2*R_moon and so we need a simple formula to calculate it from R_moon and D_min.
P(x) is a probability density function; it's the black curve you can see. It shows, for a given trajectory along the line of possible trajectories, how likely 2024 YR4 is to follow that trajectory. It's shifted a bit from the center since the most likely trajectories are not exactly centered on the Moon. P_impact is the area of P(x) that falls within +/- L_impact, AKA the probability that the trajectory will intersect the Moon, AKA the impact probability.
The rest is just some graphing stuff that doesn't matter to the calculation.
Good old Ctrl+X Ctrl+Z, Ctrl+V.
That's really awesome! I'm impressed that JWST's coronagraph was able to block out the star's light so completely.