You spent way too much time doing flawed math. There’s a reason why “luck” statistics don’t exist—it’s nearly impossible to discern whether an occurrence is the result of luck or skill.
Your calculations literally say “If a team hires a nobody off the street to kick field goals, and they miss every attempt, that team is simply unlucky. However, a team that recruits a top-tier kicker that performs well is simply lucky.”
You spent way too much time doing flawed math. There’s a reason why “luck” statistics don’t exist—it’s nearly impossible to discern whether an occurrence is the result of luck or skill.
Your calculations literally say “If a team hires a nobody off the street to kick field goals, and they miss every attempt, that team is simply unlucky. However, a team that recruits a top-tier kicker that performs well is simply lucky.”