mwguy

I tried to make an AI summary of the article but it somehow thought that Biden beat Trump in 2024 so I'm throwing that away.

This is part 1 of a ongoing 3 part series looking at the Harris campaign. Mostly based on her campaign management's recent podcast appearance(s) and statistics from the election results.

AI Summary thing I've been expirimenting with:

This article is a nuanced exploration of how internal polls and campaign dynamics are reported by journalists, particularly on social media platforms like Twitter. The author proposes a categorization system for levels of access to information:

1. Level 3.1: Journalists reporting on internal polls or campaign mood without citing numbers directly.
2. Level 3.2: Well-connected elites (e.g., politicians, strategists, donors) sharing internal polls or campaign sources within the media.
3. Level 3.3: Random individuals on Twitter claiming to have seen internal polls.

The article highlights the potential for misinformation and spin at each level:

• Level 3.1: Journalists may repeat spin or uncritically pass along information from campaign sources, as seen in the Axios report mentioned in the article. • Level 3.2: Well-connected elites might share unverified or biased information, often without realizing it's not accurate or might be used to manipulate public opinion.

The author emphasizes that:

1. Data beats vibes: Even if internal polls are not publicly available, data-driven reporting can provide a more objective picture of the campaign.
2. Journalists should be cautious: Reporters should verify information, especially when it comes from well-connected elites or unverified sources.
3. The feedback loop: As misinformation spreads through social media and elite networks, it can create a self-reinforcing narrative that becomes detached from reality.

The article also highlights the importance of critical thinking and skepticism in evaluating internal polls and campaign dynamics. By distinguishing between Level 3.1 reporting (which might be informative) and Levels 3.2 and 3.3 (where misinformation or spin is more likely to occur), readers can better navigate the complexities of electoral politics and media coverage.

AI Generated Summary (I've been expirimentign with it):

• Kamala Harris had a tough day in the forecast despite gains in national polls.
• She leads by 3.8 points nationally but has a 47.3% chance of winning the Electoral College.
• The model adjusts for convention bounce, assuming her polls are inflated.
• Harris’s numbers may improve if she maintains her current standing.
• A concern is the lack of polls showing her ahead in Pennsylvania, a key state.
• Recent polls show Pennsylvania as a tie or slightly favoring Trump.
• Harris has a 17% chance of winning the popular vote but losing the Electoral College.
• RFK’s dropout and endorsement of Trump may impact her in Rust Belt states.
• Tim Walz has had a strong rollout as Harris’s VP, but there’s speculation about Josh Shapiro.

By Jonathan Amos Science correspondent

Jupiter-sized "planets" free-floating in space, unconnected to any star, have been spotted by the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST).

What's intriguing about the discovery is that these objects appear to be moving in pairs. Astronomers are currently struggling to explain them.

The telescope observed about 40 pairs in a fabulously detailed new survey of the famous Orion Nebula.

By Nkechi Ogbonna BBC News, Lagos

Sacked Twitter staffers in Africa are threatening to sue the company for failing to pay out the redundancy money they say they were promised.

Most had only been in the job a matter of months when the social media platform, now known as X, told them they were fired last November.

"It's difficult when it's the world's richest man owing you money and closure," one of the sacked workers tells the BBC.

The BBC has approached X for comment several times but was rebuffed with, among other things, a smiling poo emoji.

A more recent attempt received this response: "Busy now, please check back later."

...

MINNEAPOLIS — A deal was reached Sunday to end a week-long strike that had shut down a major shipping artery in the Great Lakes, halting the flow of grain and other goods from the U.S. and Canada.

Around 360 workers in Ontario and Quebec with Unifor, Canada's largest private-sector union, walked out Oct. 22 in a dispute over wages with the St. Lawrence Seaway Management Corp.

Seaway Management said ships will start moving again when employees return to work at 7 a.m. Monday.

...

By Peter Hoskins Business reporter

Ford and the United Auto Workers (UAW) union have reached a tentative deal to end a six-week strike.

The agreement would be the first settlement of strikes by 45,000 workers against Ford, General Motors (GM) and Chrysler-parent Stellantis.

The deal still needs to be approved by union leaders and members.