usernamesAreTricky
The senate race is rather close in Texas, there's a real chance to oust cruz. If we're really lucky maybe flip blue for president too this cycle or be close enough that republicans have to pay attention and play defence next cycle
Headlines usually are written in headline case which capitalize everything but article. It might've been good to deviate from the guidelines in this case
They don't have the same electoral map predictions, and they show 51% odds which is not "highly favored". They're saying it's a tossup. Moreover 538 and nate silver have still been influenced by those right wing polls just less so than RealClearPolitics.
RealClearPolitics is hardly the place to look for accuracy. They have no pollster weighting and treat polls from a group like Trafalgar (that has literally come out as illegal working with the trump campaign) the same as a highly qualified pollsters. Guess which groups publish more polls lately
And what they push on their site has also been very pro-trump in general
In November 2020, The New York Times published an article alleging that since 2017, when many of its "straight-news" reporting journalists were laid off, RealClearPolitics showed a pro-Trump turn with donations to its affiliated nonprofit increasing from entities supported by wealthy conservatives
52% odds of winning on 538 is not really favored. 538 itself calls that even odds. A 2% difference is noise from polling
Also keep in mind that the 538 odds have been heavily influenced lately by right wing aligned groups flooding the average. The polling from higher quality groups hasn't really changed all that much, still largely suggesting Harris with a slight lead
The headline is a little misleading, she said "at least $15" not that she wants it necessarily at exactly $15/hr and no more
Look through the original commenter's post history. They aren't joking. They keep posting pro-trump stuff
TIL vote buying is when you propose policies that people want and, not say, running a 1 million dollar lottery to sign a pro-trump petition
And note that her wording was "at least $15", so she's signaling openness to doing more than that
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