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Micah’s on pace to break the record 33.7% set by Joey bosa in 2017. He also have the highest edge double team rate in the league at 33% which makes this statistic even more ridiculous. He’s having an insane year. Here’s the rest of the top 15 if anyone is interested

1 Micah Parsons DAL 58/163 36%

2 Myles Garrett CLE 43/156 28%

3 Brian Burns CAR 30/113 27%

4 Bradley Chubb MIA 45/172 26%

5 Will Anderson Jr HOU 42/170 25%

6 Haason Reddick PHI 54/222 24%

7 Chase Young SF 47/197 24%

8 Jadeveon Clowney BAL 43/184 23%

9 Bryce Huff NYJ 31/135 23%

10 Arden Key TEN 30/135 22%

11 Boye Mafe SEA 36/164 22%

12 T.J. Watt PIT 45/206 22%

13 Jonathan Greenard HOU 40/184 22%

14 Nick Bosa SF 45/211 21%

15 Trey Hendrickson CIN 37/175 21%

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Some basic pros for Flacco HOF:

  • Amazing statistical run (11/0 TD/INT) and deserved SB MVP in 2012
  • Consistently raised his level of play in postseason
  • 20th all time in passing yards
  • 34th in passing TDs, 39th in 4Q comebacks

Basic cons:

  • Never named to Pro Bowl
  • Pretty meh efficiency stats
  • 48.87 on HOF Monitor (typically need 80)

EDIT: Obviously this assumes they win with him starting

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Rank Team Win % Adj. Win % Weekly Rank Change
1 Philadelphia .909 .819 --
2 Baltimore .750 .741 --
3 Kansas City .727 .729 +2
4 Jacksonville .727 .727 +2
5 San Francisco .706 .727 +2
6 Pittsburgh .636 .681 +2
7 Cleveland .636 .678 -4
8 Detroit .727 .656 -4
9 Miami .727 .637 --
10 Dallas .727 .611 --
11 Denver .545 .552 +6
12 Houston .545 .541 -1
13 Indianapolis .545 .538 +2
14 Seattle .545 .525 -2
15 Cincinnati .455 .517 -2
16 LA Rams .455 .489 +2
17 Buffalo .500 .484 -1
18 Minnesota .500 .477 -4
19 Green Bay .455 .459 +5
20 Las Vegas .417 .422 +1
21 LA Chargers .364 .412 +1
22 Atlanta .455 .407 +4
23 Tampa Bay .364 .403 -4
24 NY Jets .364 .402 -1
25 New Orleans .455 .397 -5
26 Tennessee .364 .397 -1
27 Washington .333 .334 --
28 NY Giants .333 .325 --
29 Chicago .333 .320 --
30 Arizona .167 .240 +1
31 New England .182 .239 -1
32 Carolina .091 .154 --

I'm using a simplified/modified Colley Matrix iteration process (https://www.colleyrankings.com/method.html)

To summarize, you take the win percentage of every team and correct it against the win percentage of their opponents. Then you have a new win percentage. And I repeat that process until the correction factor is below .001. Essentially this is what I would expect the win percentages to be if the teams played an average team every week.

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The Vikings find themselves playing in mostly one score games again. After an NFL record of 11-0 they have regressed to the mean are now 5-6 in one score games. Additionally all 6 of those losses have been unique point differential in those 6 games. They have had: 1 point loss - Week 11 Denver 2 point loss - Week 12 Chicago 3 point loss - Week 1 Tampa Bay 4 point loss - Week 3 LA Chargers 5 point loss - 6 point loss - Week 2 Philadelphia 7 point loss - Week 5 Kansas City 8 point loss -

The Vikings are a 5 point loss and a 8 point loss from completing this process of every 1 score loss possible. I have no idea how common something like this I just found it kind of funny and it does seem that the Vikings are addicted to having absurd 1 score game stats.

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So to get ready for playoff chase, I took a look at each team's statistics for the past 6 weeks(weeks 7 - 12). Shown are the offense and defense statistics, the rank, and what the league average is. Then I assigned grades to the offense, defense and team as a whole. You can read all 32 team breakdowns in the full post:

NFL 2023 - Offense, Defense, Team grades for weeks 7-12

As a quick TLDR, the following chart shows NET Yards/play, NET EP, Power Ratings, and change in power rating vs post week six rating. It is sorted by NET EP. Remember, these stats are only for weeks 7 - 12, not the full season.

NFL Team Ranks for NET Yards/Play, NET Expected Points & Power Rating weeks 7-12

Each of the 32 team capsules include the following information.

  • Net Expected Points
  • Net Yards / Play
  • Power Rating
  • Graphics Metrics Capsule showing weeks 1-6 and 7-12 in one chart for comparison
  • Offense Grade & Comments
  • Offensive Metrics
  • Defense Grade & Comments
  • Defensive Metrics
  • Summary

Here is an example of the Dallas Cowboys Team Capsule for weeks 7 - 12.

Dallas Cowboys - Offense Defense Team Stats Grades Weeks 7-12

Obviously the letter grades and comments are a bit subjective, but the statistics are not. Have fun checking out the stats of your favorite team and rivals. Enjoy the football tonight!

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From the "you can find a stat that makes anyone look good department"

4th down QBs since 2021 by QB Rating (Minimum 10 passing attempts):

Rk Player Year Down #Pl Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Sk 1D Rate
1 Justin Herbert 2021-2023 4th 66 33 53 62.3 417 10 0 1 30 126.3
2 Zach Wilson 2021-2023 4th 34 20 29 69 274 3 1 2 15 119.0
3 Tom Brady 2021-2022 4th 29 15 23 65.2 124 3 0 2 15 118.5
4 Jordan Love 2021-2023 4th 21 11 18 61.1 98 4 0 0 10 115.3
5 Sam Darnold 2021-2023 4th 18 6 13 46.2 153 1 0 1 5 115.2
6 Jimmy Garoppolo 2021-2023 4th 20 6 13 46.2 109 3 0 2 5 115.1
7 Kirk Cousins 2021-2023 4th 41 20 34 58.8 264 6 1 1 20 110.8
8 Derek Carr 2021-2023 4th 31 16 25 64 193 4 1 2 14 110.5
9 Bryce Young 2023-2023 4th 18 9 13 69.2 71 1 0 1 8 108.2
10 Andy Dalton 2021-2023 4th 23 10 15 66.7 139 3 1 7 9 108.1
11 Jalen Hurts 2021-2023 4th 55 12 24 50 204 2 0 2 12 106.9
12 Matthew Stafford 2021-2023 4th 22 10 18 55.6 88 2 0 1 10 105.8
13 Ben Roethlisberger 2021-2021 4th 14 8 13 61.5 36 2 0 0 4 105.4
14 Gardner Minshew 2021-2023 4th 22 12 19 63.2 146 3 1 0 11 104.4
15 Sam Howell 2023-2023 4th 15 7 12 58.3 72 1 0 2 6 103.5
16 Tua Tagovailoa 2021-2023 4th 26 12 21 57.1 185 1 0 2 10 102.3
17 Baker Mayfield 2021-2023 4th 35 15 27 55.6 178 3 1 6 14 97.5
18 Teddy Bridgewater 2021-2022 4th 22 12 18 66.7 165 3 4 0 12 95.8
19 Trevor Lawrence 2021-2023 4th 58 27 44 61.4 309 3 1 3 25 95.7
20 Carson Wentz 2021-2022 4th 29 7 15 46.7 50 2 0 4 6 94.4
21 Jacoby Brissett 2021-2022 4th 35 9 20 45 138 4 1 1 9 87.1
22 Joe Burrow 2021-2023 4th 30 12 23 52.2 166 2 1 2 11 86.5
23 Jared Goff 2021-2023 4th 68 28 62 45.2 298 6 1 5 27 85.3
24 Matt Ryan 2021-2022 4th 28 11 20 55 89 1 0 3 10 83.1
25 Geno Smith 2021-2023 4th 25 13 19 68.4 123 1 1 1 9 81.7
26 Aaron Rodgers 2021-2022 4th 34 12 31 38.7 157 5 1 1 11 81.6
27 Josh Allen 2021-2023 4th 44 13 31 41.9 136 8 1 0 12 81.5
28 Patrick Mahomes 2021-2023 4th 23 12 20 60 73 2 1 1 11 79.8
29 Tyler Huntley 2021-2023 4th 21 6 10 60 62 0 0 1 5 77.9
30 Davis Mills 2021-2022 4th 31 14 28 50 235 1 1 2 11 75.7
31 Kyler Murray 2021-2023 4th 42 17 35 48.6 223 3 2 1 15 73.9
32 Desmond Ridder 2022-2023 4th 16 5 12 41.7 56 0 0 0 3 56.3
33 Dak Prescott 2021-2023 4th 37 13 23 56.5 159 1 2 1 12 56.2
34 Daniel Jones 2021-2023 4th 36 9 21 42.9 82 1 1 3 8 50.1
35 Mac Jones 2021-2023 4th 37 15 30 50 118 2 3 1 13 42.8
36 Taylor Heinicke 2021-2023 4th 31 11 25 44 142 1 2 1 11 42.4
37 Lamar Jackson 2021-2023 4th 23 3 10 30 48 1 1 1 2 40.8
38 P.J. Walker 2021-2023 4th 14 2 10 20 21 0 0 2 2 39.6
39 Ryan Tannehill 2021-2023 4th 25 7 15 46.7 83 0 1 2 6 36.3
40 Justin Fields 2021-2023 4th 35 9 21 42.9 73 0 1 4 6 32.4
41 Russell Wilson 2021-2023 4th 31 6 18 33.3 87 1 2 3 5 28.9
42 Joshua Dobbs 2022-2023 4th 23 6 17 35.3 66 0 2 1 4 8.1
43 Mike White 2021-2023 4th 12 2 10 20 39 0 1 0 2 3.8

^Table ^formatting ^brought ^to ^you ^by ^ExcelToReddit

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Personally I would think Point State Park is a more suitable location than the North Shore, but what do I know.

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https://preview.redd.it/nkdz5dgrjg3c1.png?width=1120&format=png&auto=webp&s=04b1a165597501a203eb4096e3d1c3c7ef2a7568

With both these teams having had questions around their offensive play-caller and second-year quarterback, the way to get back on track for them was to re-dedicate themselves to more diverse run games. However, they're doing it in slightly different ways.

I broke down what that plan looked like for these teams this past Sunday, what this can create for them and how I believe they’ll be trying to control matchups this way going forward!

I could only post the first 15 (of 23) minutes. You can check out the full video here!

https://reddit.com/link/187j5bc/video/cofmsk49og3c1/player

If you enjoyed the analysis, please consider viewing the original video, leaving a like and/or subscribing for future episodes!

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Team rank in offensive redzone efficiency

2014 Raiders: 1st

2015 Raiders: 9th

2016 Raiders: 14th

2017 Raiders: 7th

2018 Raiders: 22nd

2019 Raiders: 22nd

2020 Raiders: 23rd

2021 Raiders: 26th

2022 Raiders: 26th

2023 Saints: 29th

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