this post was submitted on 28 Nov 2023
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Cade is essentially on his 2nd season in terms of games played. His 2P% isn’t that bad so far in his career, it’s his 3P% that is abysmal. He also doesn’t have the most reliable offensive threats around him. I’d be more worried if this carries onto his 3rd or 4th season without improvement.
Some other guys that were in similar situations:
Lonzo tracks really closely with him improving his 3P% to reliably above league average 3P% from well below and getting TS over 50% starting from his 3rd season.
Kemba almost 4 seasons to reliably get over 50% TS.
Jrue was just around 50% TS like Cade his first 5 seasons.
Completely different type of role but Bruce Brown also had similarly bad efficiency in his first two seasons and became one of the more efficient guards in the league starting his 3rd season.
However if the worry is more in regards to him becoming a number one guy on a championship team then yes I think it isn’t projecting that way. But I still think he could pan out to be a great #2.
all reasonable points. yeah Pistons are in a tough spot because draft chips didn’t fall our way. Cade for all intents and purposes the last two years has been our #1
like this team is definitely screwed if Cades offensive ceiling is Kemba (and super screwed if it’s Jrue or Lonzo). I know that’s not what you are arguing, just flagging it.
In terms of 3p% i have faith that Cades can rise to league average even while being the #1, he just needs to share more ball handling duties. Even Luka has poor stretches shooting the 3 when they all have to be self created
Foul drawing is weird I also think he’ll figure it out but the signs are not promising right now minus one or two games.
Like I genuinely think Cade can get to 56%+ TS as the number one option next season. I don’t think that’s like some amazing team but could be a 35+ win team with him as the fulcrum. It just feels shitty because fans thought that leap would be this year, and even though not much of our failure and losing streak is Cades fault, he’s definitely not helping us elevate out of it
I’d have a little more hope even if he doesn’t pan out as a number 1. If the other pieces develop well you can package to get that number 1.
But yeah I think you can also look to how the team’s spacing is utterly garbage right now with basically everyone being a below league average 3P shooter. The paint’s gonna be more crowded. At least Cade has improved his FTA year over year, Ivey regressed and none of the other players playing right now are good at getting to the line, Cade actually leads the team. Cade is also has the 2nd best 3P% behind Stewart actually. I think a lot of it is attributed to the team make up and I am hopeful for the Pistons that Bojan’s return will help turn things around. Having that vet on the floor who also spaces for everyone will be a big help. FT% also generally tends to track with general shooting and Cade has been very good in that regard since he entered the league.