this post was submitted on 28 Nov 2023
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There have been myriad changes that have sped the game by bits, but the change to the shot clock has accelerated everything. The NBA dipped below 93 possessions per 48 minutes in 1994-1995 and remained there until 2013 (with the exception of hitting 93.1 in 1999-2000), usually hovering between 90-92 possessions per 48.
In 2014 there was a jump from 92 to 93.9. And then a slow growth for a few years. And then with the shot clock change in 2018 there was a 3 possession per night boost to 100 for the first time since the 1980s, and its been in the 99s almost every year (98.2 in 2021-2022) since.
You've gotta recontextualize yourself for a world where, in addition to the efficiency of the 3 pointer increasing point totals, players are also getting about 10% more chances to put up numbers than they did before. And almost all of that growth has come in the last decade, so yeah - it is sudden.
Add 10% to Hakeem's numbers from 1993-1994 https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/o/olajuha01/gamelog/1994 some of those games start to look awfully similar to what we're seeing now from Joker (like that 37-14-8-3 that he had in 38 mins against Dallas).