NFL

Most of this article is about how QBs are injured more than they used to be and aren't as good as they used to be. And that's funny, because both are wrong.

In 1997, the league passer rating was 77.2. In 2002, it was 80.4. In 2007, it was 82.6. In 2012, it was 85.6. In 2017, it was 86.9. In 2022, it was 89.1.

Objectively, QB play is better than it's ever been. So why is the perception that QBs are getting worse? I think it's a few reasons. The biggest is that people outside just don't remember the shit QBs of yesteryear. Yeah, if you compare Daniel Jones to Eli Manning, maybe he comes off looking bad. But then you go back to 2012 and you see guys like Sam Bradford, Josh Freeman, Christian Ponder, Blaine Gabbert, Jake Locker, Brandon Weeden, and Mark Sanchez all being primary starters and it's easier to remember there's always been shit QBs. The other thing is that people tend to remember past QBs at their best, but most of the time, they were not at their best. I could talk about Matt Stafford, Andrew Luck, and Ryan Tannehill playing in 2012, but they all sucked in 2012.

Basically, QBs are objectively better than they used to be. If you think QBs used to be better, your memory is simply playing tricks on you and you need to take off the nostalgia goggles. I know how much people hate when this is brought up, but I also think that for some people, there's a race component. 8 of the top 15 QBs by passer rating this season right now are black, and while it's not everybody, there is definitely a subset of people who consciously or unconsciously rate those QBs lower than the white QBs of the past.

In 1997, 16 QBs started 14+ games. In 2002, 18 QBs started 14+ games. In 2007, 15 QBs started 14+ games. In 2012, 25 QBs started 14+ games. In 2017, 23 QBs started 14+ games. In 2022, 15 QBs started 15+ games.

This one's a little trickier. First of all, I want to point out that this article quotes Trent Dilfer and Rich Gannon, who played during the era when QBs got injured/were benched at the same rate QBs are today. 2022 was also an outlier. 2020 had 21 QBs and 2021 had 19 QBs. 2023 has 23 QBs who have started 10-12 games so far. I don't have the reasons for every QB missing every game, and I'm sure you could use other metrics, but generally speaking, this again appears to be a case where people simply forget the past. It's a lot easier to remember the seasons where QBs played. It's more difficult to remember the seasons they missed. It's even more difficult to remember the seasons where they missed 4 games or whatever. I'd also point out that citing 8 QBs being out this week is a little weird. Tannehill and Garoppolo are healthy, their teams have just already packed it in for this season and they want to take a long look at their young QBs. 3 of the other 6 (Rodgers, Cousins, Jones) were injured on non-contact injuries. Dilfer saying these QBs are "soft" or "more hurt than ever" just isn't supported by anything. QBs missing games appears to be directly in line with the past.

The reason it's trickier is that there clearly was a period from 2008-2017 where there was slightly less QB attrition. 2012, 2016, and 2017 were especially good years for QBs playing a lot, but the average throughout that period was a little higher overall. What's the reason for that? No idea. Probably a variety of factors.

Anyway, this ended up getting longer than I intended. This is all just a really long way of saying people will always yearn for the better days of the past but the better days of the past were rarely better, and this is no exception.