this post was submitted on 29 Nov 2023
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These predictions are basically why tanking is a bad strategy
As always, depends. The Jags out-tanked the Jets for the 2021 draft, and the "surefire" consensus #1 pick of Trevor Lawrence has lived up to be very solid.
It's easy to forget that Lawrence had been annoited the #1 pick his freshman year. When you talk about best prospects of all time the list is Elway, Manning, Luck, Lawrence. The real surprising part is that the next 4 1st rd QB's will all be backups next year
They tried their hardest to fuck it up by hiring Urban Meyer, though.
If a team tanks, I think they need to get a franchise altering player with that pick.
Jury is still out on Lawrence. But it's promising.
Jury still out on Travon Walker, and not looking great so far.
Too soon for Bryce Young.
Of the other 21 first overall picks of the 2000's, I think these guys were franchise altering (in a good way).
Michael Vick (though derailed off field)
Carson Palmer (slightly derailed by injury and then contract dispute, but overall I think worthy of #1)
Eli Manning
Jake Long
Matthew Stafford
Cam Newton
Andrew Luck
Jared Goff (I guess.)
Myles Garrett
Joe Burrow
So that's 8 out of 21 that would have been worthy of tanking for. And I'm being generous on a couple.
Tanking is definitely worth trying. I don't get why people say it doesn't work. You have to have some top end picks somewhere on the roster to succeed.
It depends on how one tanks. If you're shipping off guys in their 20s to do it, it's probably not good. Look at the Panthers shipping away CMC and DJ Moore. If your team naturally sucks and it's late in the season then it's different.
Very solid, I just can't stand the fucking pre-draft hype.
People were talking about TLaw like he was football jesus and called him a generational talent and the league was fucked and Brady should go ahead and retire because the true GOAT was here.
It was so fucking annoying. Dude played in the fucking ACC, lets calm down.