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Assuming Harris wins, the first midterm federal election is usually ugly for the president's party, so it'd be a risk. Especially coming off of this election where dems will have to be extremely lucky just to hold onto the majority (even with the vp tiebreaker).
If Trump wins much of that is irrelevant by 2026 anyway though.
Of course, but I don't think that him as the VP candidate changes the odds of that much relative to the other contenders who don't come with that risk.
VP candidates don't usually matter much in an election unless they're freaks with a couch fetish or something weird like that.
As dumb and superficial as it sounds, my guess is a fighter pilot and astronaut plays better to swing state voters than governors of other states.