this post was submitted on 02 Oct 2024
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The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) cannot reveal weather forecasts from a particularly accurate hurricane prediction model to the public that pays for the American government agency – because of a deal with a private insurance risk firm.

The model at issue is called the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program (HFIP) Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA). In 2023, it was deemed in a National Hurricane Center (NHC) report [PDF] to be one of the two "best performers," the other being a model called IVCN (Intensity Variable Consensus).

2020 contract between NOAA and RenaissanceRe Risk Sciences, disclosed in response to a Freedom of Information Act request by The Washington Post, requires NOAA to keep HCCA forecasts – which incorporate a proprietary technique from RenaissanceRe – secret for five years.

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[–] danc4498@lemmy.world 66 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (10 children)

This doesn’t sound so bad from the government’s perspective…

RenaissanceRe developed a piece of technology that the government wanted to use (for free) in their own hurricane model. The only way RenaissanceRe would allow this is if the government kept the models private for 5 years.

The government’s use of this data would help it to respond and prepare local governments for hurricanes. Keeping the data private for 5 years is the only way of getting it, so this is better than not having the data.

Maybe it’s a little shitty on RenaissanceRe‘s part, but it’s no different than healthcare companies keeping patents for a number of years knowing that their medicines could save lives if it were cheaper and more available.

Edit: Washington Post source

https://web.archive.org/web/20240926193035/https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2024/09/26/noaa-hurricane-model-hcca-accuweather/

[–] kureta@lemmy.ml 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Sure John is shooting people to death but it's no different than Jack stabbing people to death. Makes you think 🤔

[–] danc4498@lemmy.world 3 points 1 month ago

It’s not good behavior

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