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Uh, bombing one of Iran's nuclear sites seems like a great way to find out if they've actually figured out nukes or not.
Please don't. Please. Fucking. Don't.
...which of course means they will.
nuclear warheads have an arming process that makes them active.
after all, you wouldn't want armed nuclear warheads sitting inside your country would you?
You're assuming Iran doesn't sling one at Israel intentionally in retaliation for targeting their nuclear program.
Iran would never do that because they are literally in the fallout zone. if they did it would be their last resort, and even then it would be an act of MAD.
Nuclear explosions are difficult to propagate; there’s a balance between too much boom to scatter the fissile material and too little boom to fail to compress enough for a runaway nuclear reaction. It’s one of the key steps to making an actual bomb when you have the material to do so.
So don’t stress about that, stress about the next 20-40 years world wide.
That's kinda the opposite of what I've heard. Making a really basic nuke is easy, it's getting the material (which Iran has, mostly), and making one of the city-flatteners that's hard.
Regardless, my concern is that Iran might decide to throw some nuclear material, functional or not, at Israel in retaliation for bombing their nuclear program.