this post was submitted on 07 Oct 2024
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Possible or not I don't think we'll get to the point of AGI. I'm pretty sure at some point someone will do something monumentally stupid with AI that will wipe out humanity.
Like wrecking the biosphere in its persuit.
Maybe. But I have a feeling it'll be a dumb single mistake that'll make someone say "ah, shit" just before we're wiped out.
When the Soviets trained anti-tank dogs in WW2 they did so on tanks that weren't running to save fuel: "Their deployment revealed some serious problems... In the field, the dogs refused to dive under moving tanks." https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-tank_dog
History is littered with these kinds of mistakes. It would only take one military AI with access to autonomous weapons to have a similar issue in it's training data to potentially kill us all.
Why in God's name would we put weapons that pose a legitimate threat to the whole of humanity under the control of an ai? I just don't think this one sounds plausible.