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Thank you, all great points. So overall, what do the demographics suggest in this case?
General consesus seems to be the early vote data looks good for dems overall. Some suggest that there maybe a slight increase in republicans switching from election day voting to early, but otherwise looks pretty good. Honestly would have expected more of that given that republicans theoretically made it a focus of their get out the vote to get people to vote earlier
Analyzing early voting data can be a little tricky because of you can only look at those indirect metrics. I mean even with party registration it doesn't tell you if republicans are choosing not to vote for trump which the republican oversampling polling suggests we might see more of compared to 2020
The dems don’t have this in the bag, though. Wins and losses may be decided by a few thousand votes, so people need to get out and vote!
Of course! My early vote for Kamala in Arizona went out a couple weeks ago!
I really appreciate the indepth response. Thanks much.