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Control of the chamber is a highly competitive race, but most of the races themselves aren't. Due to creative drawing of district boundaries, the overwhelming majority of seats are in noncompetitive races. The New York Times lists only 22 districts in doubt out of 435.
They list 175 "solidly Democratic" 17 "Likely Democratic" and 13 "Lean Democratic", as well as 191 solid, 9 likely and 8 leaning Republican districts. Do the math, and we have a base of 205 Democrats to 208 Republicans, and then the competitive races on top of that.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/house-election-swing-districts.html
(I think they dropped the paywall temporarily for election coverage)