this post was submitted on 12 Jun 2025
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Actually there are more polls coming out that have Mamdani ahead now, still extremely close but I wouldn't call it a guaranteed win for Cuomo. Especially since we're just starting to see the ripple effects from the Mayoral debate and AOC's endorsement.
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/06/11/zohran-mamdani-climbs-to-top-of-poll-leading-andrew-cuomo-00401594
I really hope that's true! Given all our history I've grown to have very little faith in the electorate lol
Yeah that's fair, I think the main thing you can hope for is that a lot of Cuomo's support comes just from people who pick him just because they recognize him, which means they're probably not high propensity voters. Meanwhile a lot of Mamdani's support is grassroots which means hopefully a lot of his supporters are high propensity voters.
Important to remember, too, that a lot of those polls make meaningful assumptions about who is likely to turn out, and Mamdani's strategy is pretty zeroed-in on mobilizing registered democrats who ordinarily would not be likely to vote in a primary race.
Cuomo's campaign is extremely traditional and aiming at traditionally active primary voters, so it would be extremely encouraging to see a major race be won by the radical, non-traditional candidate over the traditional establishment one. It would certainly open up the field for 2028, especially against establishment democrats who's main advantage is their safe coalition numbers.