this post was submitted on 22 Oct 2023
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People have unreal expectations for wembanyama right now. Some of them will definitely turn on him when he doesn’t put up 30/10 every game.
People peg him as a rookie year DPOY & that he's making all-star, all of that based on some flashes in pre-season games. People always overreact to these pre-season games, like it's mostly for end of bench players to try & earn minutes, rookies to get a feel for the floor, and actual starter players to get some cardio before the season starts, that's it.
I think Wemby will show a lot of flashes of what he can become, but he won't have close to the consistency people expect. He'll put up more stinker games than people expect, where he either gets abused by the top end guards, gets in foul trouble early, and his shot ain't falling. His efficiency will be pretty bad overall I think.
Yeah it was preseason but anybody with eyes could tell that he's for real. Only question with him is gonna be health and then to a lesser degree how consistent his shot can be. But yes I do think he's possibly the league's best defender from day 1. Probably can be bullied by bigger bodies but he's so unreal on that end it's ridiculous
I don't doubt he's for real at all, I doubt his offensive game being polished enough to put up all-stars numbers. For example he's not as accomplished in Europe as Luka was coming into the league, and Luka didn't make AS in a year when it was arguably less competitive than now. Victors efficiency in LNB Pro A just last year was mediocre, a league which is considered worse than ACB which Luka dominated, never mind Euroleague. I think Wemby will be something like 20/11/3 PPG on below league average TS% & competing for league leader in blocks. That's not enough to make AS with todays competition.
Is it weird (or even possible) that I think he has a better chance of DPOY than all star? That being said, I agree he has more work to do on the offensive end but also don't really think people care that much about efficiency for all star purposes.
I'm also a bit higher on his offensive game than you seem to be, IMO it's in between what you think and what public thinks somewhere