this post was submitted on 22 Oct 2023
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People peg him as a rookie year DPOY & that he's making all-star, all of that based on some flashes in pre-season games. People always overreact to these pre-season games, like it's mostly for end of bench players to try & earn minutes, rookies to get a feel for the floor, and actual starter players to get some cardio before the season starts, that's it.
I think Wemby will show a lot of flashes of what he can become, but he won't have close to the consistency people expect. He'll put up more stinker games than people expect, where he either gets abused by the top end guards, gets in foul trouble early, and his shot ain't falling. His efficiency will be pretty bad overall I think.
This is also what I’m expecting. Hopefully he will end up somewhere in the middle but rookies almost always struggle with efficiency.
The cynical side of me wants to agree with you, but I think he might really live up to it. I doubt dpoy, but all-star is an actual expectation.
He would be the first ever rookie DPOY so yeah. I think it will be very hard for him to make all-star, you need the PPG to qualify for it pretty much & I don't think his offensive game is developed enough to put up the numbers. He will get the touches, but he will also get a lot of defensive attention from day 1.
We can look at his accomplishments in Europe, and while they look very promising they're way behind what Luka did before coming into the league. And I would say the all-star race is harder than back then.
He took Wiggins’ soul the other night. If it was JJJ’s block numbers that took DPOY last year, I don’t see why Wemby can’t.
It’s funny to see some of the classic rookie predictions here (e.g. bad shot efficiency)… I think people overlook that he can literally stand still and shoot over everyone in the NBA.
I think the doubters are going to get shut up real quick.
JJJ didn't win DPOY because he blocked a potential 6 points a game.
JJJ won DPOY because Steven Adams covered up his flaws especially rebounding.
Adams played half a year. Jaren was still dominating. He will be the betting favorite for DPOY again despite losing Adams.
It’s not just the ridiculous blocks and steals…Wemby is already showing flashes of peak Gobert/young Kawhi levels of opposing players noping out of even trying Wemby.
Yeah it was preseason but anybody with eyes could tell that he's for real. Only question with him is gonna be health and then to a lesser degree how consistent his shot can be. But yes I do think he's possibly the league's best defender from day 1. Probably can be bullied by bigger bodies but he's so unreal on that end it's ridiculous
I don't doubt he's for real at all, I doubt his offensive game being polished enough to put up all-stars numbers. For example he's not as accomplished in Europe as Luka was coming into the league, and Luka didn't make AS in a year when it was arguably less competitive than now. Victors efficiency in LNB Pro A just last year was mediocre, a league which is considered worse than ACB which Luka dominated, never mind Euroleague. I think Wemby will be something like 20/11/3 PPG on below league average TS% & competing for league leader in blocks. That's not enough to make AS with todays competition.
Is it weird (or even possible) that I think he has a better chance of DPOY than all star? That being said, I agree he has more work to do on the offensive end but also don't really think people care that much about efficiency for all star purposes.
I'm also a bit higher on his offensive game than you seem to be, IMO it's in between what you think and what public thinks somewhere
I think his defense is what I think is already going to be really good because of the way he's so fast for his size and already has that experience with timing at the pro level from France. His passing is already really good and I just think his scoring consistency will take the most development, especially with shooting