โ
| Rank |
Team |
Adj. Win % |
| 1 |
Kansas City |
.763 |
| 2 |
Philadelphia |
.760 |
| 3 |
Baltimore |
.730 |
| 4 |
Jacksonville |
.707 |
| 5 |
Cleveland |
.690 |
| 6 |
Pittsburgh |
.690 |
| 7 |
Detroit |
.673 |
| 8 |
San Francisco |
.660 |
| 9 |
Miami |
.594 |
| 10 |
Houston |
.573 |
| 11 |
Dallas |
.564 |
| 12 |
Seattle |
.547 |
| 13 |
NY Jets |
.537 |
| 14 |
Atlanta |
.536 |
| 15 |
Buffalo |
.534 |
| 16 |
Indianapolis |
.533 |
| 17 |
Tampa Bay |
.513 |
| 18 |
Cincinnati |
.510 |
| 19 |
LA Rams |
.491 |
| 20 |
Minnesota |
.448 |
| 21 |
Tennessee |
.405 |
| 22 |
LA Chargers |
.394 |
| 23 |
New Orleans |
.393 |
| 24 |
Washington |
.388 |
| 25 |
Las Vegas |
.379 |
| 26 |
New England |
.362 |
| 27 |
NY Giants |
.334 |
| 28 |
Green Bay |
.323 |
| 29 |
Denver |
.309 |
| 30 |
Chicago |
.292 |
| 31 |
Arizona |
.221 |
| 32 |
Carolina |
.149 |
I'm using the Colley Matrix iteration process (https://www.colleyrankings.com/method.html)
To summarize, you take the win percentage of every team and correct it against the win percentage of their opponents. Then you have a new win percentage. And I repeat that process until the correction factor is below 0.01%. Essential this is what I would expect the win percentages to be if the teams played an average team every week.
Nice. Still number 1 on the top of shit mountain but really what this is showing me is that we've generally played the harder part of our schedule compared to the rest of our division which is pretty big.
Now that we're past the average teams its on to the below average teams.