this post was submitted on 22 Sep 2025
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In a population of 400 people, 1 person is shot every day? So, by the end of one year, the population is down to 35 people?
If we extrapolate to the US population, we end up with 900,000 people murdered per day, or about 330 million people per year. That doesn't seem quite right.
One person is shot, not one person is killed via shooting.
Fair enough. So, at the end of the first year, there are at least 365 bullet wounds among 400 people? Every year, 330 million Americans are treated for bullet holes?
The math suggests I should be surviving a gunshot wound every 16 months or so. That doesn't seem to match my life experience.
Some people get shot more often than others, mainly those living in poverty because they are forced to live in bad places, also most of them are black and shot by the police frequently
I'm more concerned about the lack of basic arithmetic literacy at this point. There would probably be a fair bit less poverty with a broader understanding of numbers.
Maybe, I'm not sure what would happen if literacy and math skills rose globally.
After thinking about it for 30s (so my point is not very thought out), I think it would impact poverty, but not for the reason you think, I expect people would vote differently, and that would have an impact on poverty. I don't think it would reduce poverty because people would spend more wisely, poverty imo is not a lack of management, it is a vicious circle you can't easily escape.
That's actually exactly what I think. A much greater focus on facts and figures. A whole lot less emphasis on feels.
What is the rate of a black person being shot by police vs a black person being shot by other black people?
Maybe it's always the same three hundred million.
I looked up an actual statistic and it was way fewer than 1/400, so yeah. Though I do think the point about not everyone having the same experience bears thinking on, regardless of the screenshot's accuracy.
Way fewer is a bit of an understatement. They are off by 5 orders of magnitude.
It's roughly 1 in 10,440,000.
The number I got was >200 daily gunshot wounds out of a population of 340 000 000 in the US.
The actual statistic is more like one person out of the 400 getting shot every seven years.
Which is still pretty sobering.
The math is not the point here...
Are you sure? Based on their argument, I'd say "Mathematical Literacy" is the only priority we should have right now.
I'd say this shows exactly what's wrong. People discussing the details (although important details), but the real issues are ignored, almost like the mistakes are made on purpose to sow discord
Just because the inaccuracy is being pointed out doesn't mean the real issue is being ignored.
when one party makes fighting disinformation a priority instead of spreading it they shouldn't be suprised when it spends time arguing against blainant disinformation.
It kind of is. The point of the analogy is to make the big numbers easier to grasp. If it's just wrong, then are the other numbers even close?
That bit is a baldfaced lie. We OK with that?
The math is a pretty big point, seeing how the post focuses on how few trans people there are compared to the other mentioned groups (the figure for "people shot" is only 1 - but the post claims it happens every day)